Derives prob ( X + Y < quantile) using Gumbel copula
Derives prob ( X + Y < quantile) using Gumbel copula
If X and Y are position P/Ls, then the VaR is equal to minus quantile. In such cases, we insert the negative of the VaR as the quantile, and the function gives us the value of 1 minus VaR confidence level. In other words, if X and Y are position P/Ls, the quantile is the negative of the VaR, and the output is 1 minus the VaR confidence level.
quantile: Portfolio quantile (or negative of Var, if X, Y are position P/Ls)
mu1: Mean of Profit/Loss on first position
mu2: Mean of Profit/Loss on second position
sigma1: Standard Deviation of Profit/Loss on first position
sigma2: Standard Deviation of Profit/Loss on second position
beta: Gumber copula parameter (greater than 1)
Returns
Probability of X + Y being less than quantile
Examples
# Prob ( X + Y < q ) using Gumbel Copula for X with mean 2.3 and std. .2# and Y with mean 4.5 and std. 1.5 with beta 1.2 at 0.9 quantile CdfOfSumUsingGumbelCopula(0.9,2.3,4.5,1.2,1.5,1.2)
Author(s)
Dinesh Acharya
References
Dowd, K. Measuring Market Risk, Wiley, 2007.
Dowd, K. and Fackler, P. Estimating VaR with copulas. Financial Engineering News, 2004.