First (binomial) Lopez forecast evaluation backtest score measure
Derives the first Lopez (i.e. binomial) forecast evaluation score for a VaR risk measurement model.
LopezBacktest(Ra, Rb, cl)
Ra
: Vector of portfolio of profit loss distributionRb
: Vector of corresponding VaR forecastscl
: VaR confidence levelSomething
# Has to be modified with appropriate data: # LopezBacktest for given parameters a <- rnorm(1*100) b <- abs(rnorm(1*100))+2 LopezBacktest(a, b, 0.95)
Dinesh Acharya
Dowd, K. Measuring Market Risk, Wiley, 2007.
Lopez, J. A. Methods for Evaluating Value-at-Risk Estimates. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic Policy Review, 1998, p. 121.
Lopez, J. A. Regulatory Evaluations of Value-at-Risk Models. Journal of Risk 1999, 37-64.
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