Estimates the trend (polynomial or lowess) of a time series and returns a graphic of the series with the trend and error bounds superimposed.
trend(series, order =1, lowess =FALSE, lowspan =.75, robust =TRUE, col = c(4,6), ylab =NULL, ci=TRUE,...)
Arguments
series: The time series to be analyzed (univariate only).
order: Order of the polynomial used to estimate the trend with a linear default (order=1) unless lowess is TRUE.
lowess: If TRUE, loess from the stats package is used to fit the trend. The default is FALSE.
lowspan: The smoother span used for lowess.
robust: If TRUE (default), the lowess fit is robust.
col: Vector of two colors for the graphic, first the color of the data (default is blue [4]) and second the color of the trend (default is magenta [6]). Both the data and trend line will be the same color if only one value is given.
ylab: Label for the vertical axis (default is the name of the series).
ci: If TRUE (default), pointwise 95
...: Other graphical parameters.
Details
Produces a graphic of the time series with the trend and a .95 pointwise confidence interval superimposed. The trend estimate and the error bounds are returned invisibly.
Returns
Produces a graphic and returns the trend estimate fit and error bounds lwr and upr invisibly (see details) and with the same time series attributes as the input series.
References
You can find demonstrations of astsa capabilities at FUN WITH ASTSA.