Fitting Bayesian and MLE Football Models
Plot football abilities from Stan and MLE models
Plot football matches probabilities for out-of-sample football matches...
Rank and points predictions
Round-robin for football leagues
Fit football models with Maximum Likelihood
Posterior predictive checks for football models
Football priors distributions and options
Fit football models with Stan
This is the first package allowing for the estimation, visualization and prediction of the most well-known football models: double Poisson, bivariate Poisson, Skellam, student_t, diagonal-inflated bivariate Poisson, and zero-inflated Skellam. The package allows Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) estimation through the underlying Stan environment and Maximum Likelihood estimation (MLE, for 'static' models only). The model construction relies on the most well-known football references, such as Dixon and Coles (1997) <doi:10.1111/1467-9876.00065>, Karlis and Ntzoufras (2003) <doi:10.1111/1467-9884.00366> and Egidi, Pauli and Torelli (2018) <doi:10.1177/1471082X18798414>.