tseffects0.1.4 package

Dynamic (Causal) Inferences from Time Series (with Interactions)

Autoregressive distributed lag (A[R]DL) models (and their reparameterized equivalent, the Generalized Error-Correction Model [GECM]) (see De Boef and Keele 2008 <doi:10.1111/j.1540-5907.2007.00307.x>) are the workhorse models in uncovering dynamic inferences. ADL models are simple to estimate; this is what makes them attractive. Once these models are estimated, what is less clear is how to uncover a rich set of dynamic inferences from these models. We provide tools for recovering those inferences in three forms: causal inferences from ADL models, traditional time series quantities of interest (short- and long-run effects), and dynamic conditional relationships.

  • Maintainer: Soren Jordan
  • License: GPL (>= 2)
  • Last published: 2025-10-09